Friday, February 1, 2019

Zapata Buy Or Not Buy?


Here's a bit of price research on Zapata. 

The analysis starts from the beginning of his hot spell which began on December 3rd. 

3rd December Atalanta vs Napoli. 

- PB score 92 points 1 goal. 
- Price day before game £1.00
- Price average game day £1.04 

9th December Udinese vs Atalanta 

- PB score 260p 3 goals 
-Price day before game £1.32 
- Price average game day £1.29 

17th December Atalanta vs Lazio 

- PB score 145. Divs won 1 goal scored 
- Price day before game £1.28 
- Price average game day £1.34

22nd December Genoa vs Atalanta 

-PB score 32. 1 goal 
- Price day before game £1.24
- Price average game day £1.23

26th December Atalanta vs Juventus

- PB score 122 2 goals
- Price day before game £1.41 
- Price average game day £1.40 

29th December Sassuola vs Atalanta

-PB score 94 points 1 goal 
- Price day before game £1.50 
- Price average game day £1.49

14th January Cagliari vs Atalanta

- 1 goal PB not available 
- Price day before game £1.55
- Price average game day £1.63

20th January Frosinone vs Atalanta

- Scored 4 in the Cup 
- Price day before game £2.42
- Price average game day £2.53

27th January Atalanta vs Roma 

- 77 PB 1 goal
- Price day before game £2.50
- Price average game day £2.43

30th January Atalanta vs Juventus 

- PB Can't find it yet
- 2 goals 
- Price day before game £2.37
- Price average game day £2.47

Price today £2.74 

Conclusions 

- It's took a while for the market to warm to him. 
- After a good run his price didn't increase much over the Christmas break. 
- The 4 goals in the cup pushed his price up by 10p. 
- His price after the league game was lower than after the 4 goals putting himself on the FI map. 
- Price up by 10p from the day before the latest match until fulltime. 
- Big increase in price to £2.74 as of 17.40pm today. 27p rise. 
- The question now is if the market has took note of his incredible form. Bagging 2 against is a very good way of making traders take note. 
- What happens if he fails to score? I sense a pretty big drop off bearing in mind single goals don't do much for his price. But the market is starting to like him! Tough call. 
- Next game is a while away. It's Monday 4th February away at Cagliari. Another few days growth and only 3 games being played so I fancy people buying in after the weekend. 
- He has scored 8 at home and 12 away from home. So isn't afraid to score on his travels. 
- My recommendation would be buy now and flip just before KO as his price isn't too high and think its possible to beat the commission. Higher risk traders my advice would be to buy and hold but only if you think his form will continue. One bad game he might get away with a big drop but 2 I can see a sell off. Play close attention to his daily price. 

Remember this is only my opinion. Make sure you always do your own research before buying a player. 

After doing this research I have gone and purchased 73 shares at £200.02. The aim is to flip prior to kick off on Monday. 











 


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