Nicolò Zaniolo Price Analysis

Zanilio has caught my eye in recent weeks. I'm on the fence on when to purchase him. As many of you know I'm a short term trader so my reasoning is always centred towards short term trades.

Right let's have a look at the lads PB and goal scoring record.

We'll focus this report from the day before the 19th of January.

Generally speaking he isn't a PB man judging by his past performances. So essentially goals will drive price for this lad.

12/02/2019 : 218pts (1st) :first_place_medal:4p  2 GOALS 
08/02/2019 : 79pts (13th) 
03/02/2019 : 87pts (35th) 1 GOAL  
27/01/2019 : 66pts (63rd) 
19/01/2019 : 140pts (17th)   1GOAL 
29/12/2018 : 19pts (111th) 
26/12/2018 : 97pts (36th) 
22/12/2018 : 74pts (112th) 
16/12/2018 : 49pts (75th) 
12/12/2018 : -23pts (78th) 
08/12/2018 : 51pts (116th) 
02/12/2018 : 46pts (102nd) 
27/11/2018 : 2pts (61st) 
24/11/2018 : 3pts (223rd) 
11/11/2018 : 40pts (114th) 
07/11/2018 : 25pts (53rd) 
03/11/2018 : 46pts (141st) 
28/10/2018 : 0pts (192nd) 
23/10/2018 : 18pts (56th) 
20/10/2018 : -15pts (258th) 
06/10/2018 : 18pts (169th) 
02/10/2018 : 32pts (48th) 
29/09/2018 : 18pts (207th) 
26/09/2018 : 39pts (112th) 
23/09/2018 : -15pts (175th) 
19/09/2018 : -8pts (78th)

So let's have a look at this price on the 18th of January. His average price was £3.28. On the 19th on January after scoring 1 goal his price averaged out to £3.45. Quite an increase that!

8 days until his next fixture.

His average daily prices

20th 3.62
21st 3.69
22nd 3.73
23rd 3.73
24th 3.73
25th 3.74
26th 3.86

Confidence is there for sure! The 26th the day before his next game he is at £3.86. That's an increase of £0.58 so a very healthy profit.

So the 27th January he fails to find the net. His price averaged 3.87. So no drop off. This kind of means the market isn't ready to sell just yet.

His next game is on the 3rd of February.

Here are his average prices after not scoring in the previous game.

28th £3.87
29th £3.89
30th £3.90
31st £3.99
1st £4.06
2nd £4.08

This indicates a lot of faith has been put into him. Other players I've found have big drops after not scoring for one game.

Right so on the 3rd February he scores again. His price averaged £4.23. An increase again.

His next game is February 8th.

Here's what happened to his price after netting on the 3rd.

4th £4.44
5th £4.88
6th £4.89
7th £4.90

It doesn't take a genius to work out that confidence is massive!

On the 8th he fails to find the net. His price averages £4.84. His next game is then on the 12th February.

Here's his averages on the lead up to this game.

 9th £4.72
10th £4.69
11th £4.69

So a 15p drop after not hitting the back of the net. This would suggest the market saw a slight concern and maybe a slight correction.

The 12th was the CL game. He scored 2 goals in a high profile match. What do you think will happen to his price based on the history? A big rise of course. He averaged £5.42. A 73p rise. Mainly as he scored 2 goals and won PB on a CL evening.

Yesterday he averaged £5.48 and as of today £5.49. I think his price may have slowed a bit.

His next game is on Monday night home against Bologna which happens to be a single match day with only 2 games being played.

So as a short term trader what am I thinking? For a flip we would need to cover the commission of around 12p. Will he rise £0.12 from now until before KO on Monday night to cover our costs? His previous goal caused a nice increase but it dropped off a bit before the next game. So I'm a bit wary about entering a trade now on Thursday to try and get off pre KO on Monday night. I'm just not sure so in these cases I don't trade for the sake of it. Better be safe than sorry! So here's my strategy. If he scores on Monday buy immediately. He will most certainly rise! Jump aboard the hype train. 

Remember always do your own research and never rely 100% on blogs and tips you see. There is a lot of pumping going on! I just give my readers factual information based on the numbers for you to decide.

Price Data was taken from @indexgain

Tweet me @footyindexnow1 or message me on Slack. Username Rob with the Cov City badge photo.

Cheers
Rob